Economic Activity
Will Canada's economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?
Canada Recession December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open
$19 vol.
About this market
Traders price Canada Recession By Q4 2026 at 47%.
The market has $19 in volume across 4 trades; the most recent was on Oct 29, 2025.
Trading closes on Feb 28, 2027. The result is confirmed by Statistics Canada.
A recession is typically defined as a period of negative economic growth, where a country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracts for two consecutive quarters or more.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- Canada Recession By Q4 2026Resolves Yes if Canada's economy enter a recession by the ends of Q4 2026.
Result confirmed by Statistics Canada.
- Trading opened
- Apr 3, 2025
- Trading closes
- Feb 28, 2027
- Expected result
- Feb 28, 2027
- Expected payout
- Feb 28, 2027
More Canada Recession markets
Other dates in this series
Canada Recession Q4
Closes Feb 29, 2028
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.