Economic Activity

US Corporate Profits Q4 2026

US Corporate Profits December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$150 vol.
Show all 16 outcomes

About this market

Traders price -5.7 at 65%, ahead of -3.7 at 55%.

The market has $150 in volume across 31 trades; the most recent was on Jun 30, 2026.

Trading closes on Mar 26, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Corporate profits represents the portion of the total income earned from current production that is accounted for by U.S. corporations.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • -5.7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -5.7% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • -3.7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -3.7% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • -1.7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -1.7% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 0.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 0.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 2.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 2.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 4.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 4.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
Show rules for all 16 outcomes
  • -11.7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -11.7% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • -13.7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -13.7% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • -7.7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -7.7% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • -9.7Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than -9.7% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 10.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 10.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 12.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 12.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 14.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 14.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 16.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 16.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 6.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 6.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.
  • 8.3Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will US Corporate Profits increase by more than 8.3% in Q4 2026?” is yes.

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
May 29, 2025
Trading closes
Mar 26, 2027
Expected result
Mar 26, 2027
Expected payout
Mar 26, 2027

More US Corporate Profits markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.