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Interest Rates

US Fed Funds Target Rate December 10 2026

US Fed Funds Target Rate 2026 · Dec 10, 2026 · Trading open

$52.2K vol.
Show all 15 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 1.125% at 99%, ahead of Above 1.375% at 98%.

The market has $52.2K in volume across 1,392 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 9, 2026. The result is confirmed by US Federal Reserve.

The federal funds rate is the target interest rate range set by the FOMC. This is the rate at which commercial banks borrow and lend their excess reserves to each other overnight. The FOMC sets a target federal funds rate eight times a year, based on prevailing economic conditions.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 1.125%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 1.125% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 1.375%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 1.375% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 1.625%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 1.625% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 1.875%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 1.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 3.125%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 2.125%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 2.125% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
Show rules for all 15 outcomes
  • Above 2.375%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 2.375% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 2.625%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 2.625% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 2.875%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 2.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 3.375%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 3.375% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 3.625%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 3.625% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 3.875%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 4.125%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 4.375%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 4.375% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.
  • Above 4.625%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 4.625% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026.

Result confirmed by US Federal Reserve.

Trading opened
Aug 13, 2024
Trading closes
Dec 9, 2026
Expected result
Dec 9, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 10, 2026

More US Fed Funds Target Rate markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.