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US Fed Funds Target Rate January 28 2027

US Fed Funds Target Rate 2027 · Jan 28, 2027 · Trading open

$76.9K vol.
Show all 16 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 1.375% at 98%, ahead of Above 2.125% at 98%.

The market has $76.9K in volume across 1,499 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 27, 2027. The result is confirmed by US Federal Reserve.

The federal funds rate is the target interest rate range set by the FOMC. This is the rate at which commercial banks borrow and lend their excess reserves to each other overnight. The FOMC sets a target federal funds rate eight times a year, based on prevailing economic conditions.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 1.375%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 1.375% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 2.125%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 2.125% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 2.875%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 2.875% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 1.875%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 1.875% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 2.375%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 2.375% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 2.625%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 2.625% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
Show rules for all 16 outcomes
  • Above 3.125%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 3.375%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 3.375% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 0.875%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 0.875% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 1.125%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 1.125% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 1.625%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 1.625% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 3.625%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 3.625% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 3.875%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 4.125%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 4.375%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 4.375% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027.
  • Above 4.625%Resolves Yes if the US Fed Funds Target Rate is set above 4.625% at the FOMC meeting ending January 27, 2027? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank).

Result confirmed by US Federal Reserve.

Trading opened
Aug 13, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 27, 2027
Expected result
Jan 27, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 28, 2027

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.