Agriculture
What will the global average yield of rice be?
Global Crop Yield Rice August 2027 · August 2027 · Trading open
$2K vol.
OutcomeChancePrice
- Above 4.7$139 vol.79%
- Above 4.72$317 vol.55%
- Above 4.74$348 vol.45%
- Above 4.75$338 vol.42%
- Above 4.77$298 vol.36%
- Above 4.78$303 vol.28%
- Above 4.8$235 vol.21%
- Above 4.66—
About this market
Traders price Above 4.7 at 79%, ahead of Above 4.72 at 55%.
The market has $2K in volume across 315 trades; the most recent was on Oct 20, 2026.
Trading closes on Aug 12, 2027. The result is confirmed by United States Department of Agriculture's Foreign Agricultural Service.
The value of the global average yield of rice in metric tons per hectare during the reference marketing year.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 4.7Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.7 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.72Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.72 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.74Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.74 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.75Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.75 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.77Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.77 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.78Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.78 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
Show rules for all 15 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 4.8Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.8 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.66Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.66 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.84Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.84 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.88Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.88 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.92Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.92 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 4.96Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.96 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 5Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 5 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 5.04Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 5.04 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
- Above 5.08Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 5.08 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year.
Result confirmed by United States Department of Agriculture's Foreign Agricultural Service.
- Trading opened
- May 21, 2025
- Trading closes
- Aug 12, 2027
- Expected result
- Aug 12, 2027
- Expected payout
- Aug 12, 2027
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.