Agriculture
What will the global average yield of rice be?
Global Crop Yield Rice August 2028 · August 2028 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Aug 12, 2028. The result is confirmed by United States Department of Agriculture's Foreign Agricultural Service.
The value of the global average yield of rice in metric tons per hectare during the reference marketing year.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 4.74Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.74 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 4.76Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.76 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 4.78Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.78 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 4.81Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.81 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 4.83Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.83 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 4.86Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.86 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
Show rules for all 13 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 4.88Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.88 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 4.9Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.9 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 4.94Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.94 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 4.98Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 4.98 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 5.02Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 5.02 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 5.06Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 5.06 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
- Above 5.1Resolves Yes if the global average yield of rice exceeds 5.1 metric tons per hectare for the 2028 marketing year.
Result confirmed by United States Department of Agriculture's Foreign Agricultural Service.
- Trading opened
- May 21, 2025
- Trading closes
- Aug 12, 2028
- Expected result
- Aug 12, 2028
- Expected payout
- Aug 12, 2028
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.