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What will Germany's quarterly change in real GDP be?

Germany GDP December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

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Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Jan 29, 2027. The result is confirmed by ForecastEx.

The official quarter-over-quarter change in real GDP, as published by the designated national statistics agency of the specified country for the referenced period.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -0.5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1.5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -2% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0% in Q4 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if Germany's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 2% in Q4 2026.

Result confirmed by ForecastEx.

Trading opened
Feb 10, 2026
Trading closes
Jan 29, 2027
Expected result
Jan 29, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 29, 2027

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.