Economic Activity

What will Japan's quarterly change in real GDP be?

Japan GDP December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

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About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Feb 15, 2027. The result is confirmed by ForecastEx.

The official quarter-over-quarter change in real GDP, as published by the designated national statistics agency of the specified country for the referenced period.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -0.5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1.5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -1%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1% in Q4 2026.
  • Above -2%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -2% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 0%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0% in Q4 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 1%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1% in Q4 2026.
  • Above 2%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 2% in Q4 2026.

Result confirmed by ForecastEx.

Trading opened
Feb 10, 2026
Trading closes
Feb 15, 2027
Expected result
Feb 15, 2027
Expected payout
Feb 14, 2027

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