What will Japan's quarterly change in real GDP be?
Japan GDP December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Feb 15, 2027. The result is confirmed by ForecastEx.
The official quarter-over-quarter change in real GDP, as published by the designated national statistics agency of the specified country for the referenced period.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -0.5% in Q4 2026.
- Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1.5% in Q4 2026.
- Above -1%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -1% in Q4 2026.
- Above -2%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds -2% in Q4 2026.
- Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0.5% in Q4 2026.
- Above 0%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 0% in Q4 2026.
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1.5% in Q4 2026.
- Above 1%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 1% in Q4 2026.
- Above 2%Resolves Yes if Japan's quarterly change in real GDP exceeds 2% in Q4 2026.
Result confirmed by ForecastEx.
- Trading opened
- Feb 10, 2026
- Trading closes
- Feb 15, 2027
- Expected result
- Feb 15, 2027
- Expected payout
- Feb 14, 2027
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Other dates in this series
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Closes Aug 16, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.