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Temperatures

What will the monthly average temperature in NYC be?

NYC Average Monthly Temperature October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 12, 2026. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The monthly temperature average in New York City as reported by the National Weather Service in the Climate at a Glance Report. The daily temperature high is based on reporting from New York City, New York (Central Park). For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/weather.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 55 F in October 2026.
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 56 F in October 2026.
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 57 F in October 2026.
  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 58 F in October 2026.
  • Above 59Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 59 F in October 2026.
  • Above 60Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 60 F in October 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 61Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 61 F in October 2026.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Trading opened
Aug 10, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 12, 2026
Expected result
Nov 12, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 12, 2026

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.