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Temperatures

What will the Average US Temperature in October 2026 be?

Monthly Average United States Temperature October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 9, 2026. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

United States average temperature in Fahrenheit for a given month. Anthropogenic climate change is expected to increase average global temperature over time.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in October 2026 is greater than 54 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in October 2026 is greater than 55 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in October 2026 is greater than 56 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in October 2026 is greater than 57 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in October 2026 is greater than 58 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 59Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in October 2026 is greater than 59 degrees Fahrenheit.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 60Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in October 2026 is greater than 60 degrees Fahrenheit.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Aug 10, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 9, 2026
Expected result
Nov 9, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 9, 2026

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.