Open an account
Temperatures

What will the Average US Temperature in December 2026 be?

Monthly Average United States Temperature December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$721 vol.
Show all 13 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 31 at 88%, ahead of Above 32 at 82%.

The market has $721 in volume across 228 trades; the most recent was on Oct 19, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 11, 2027. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

United States average temperature in Fahrenheit for a given month. Anthropogenic climate change is expected to increase average global temperature over time.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 31Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 31 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 32Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 32 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 33Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 33 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 34Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 34 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 35Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 35 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 36Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 36 degrees Fahrenheit.
Show rules for all 13 outcomes
  • Above 37Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 37 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 38Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 38 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 39Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 39 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 40Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 40 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 30Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 30 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 41Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 41 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 42Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in December 2026 is greater than 42 degrees Fahrenheit.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Oct 30, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 11, 2027
Expected result
Jan 11, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 11, 2027

More Monthly Average United States Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.