Open an account
Temperatures

What will the Average US Temperature in November 2026 be?

Monthly Average United States Temperature November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

Show all 9 outcomes

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Dec 8, 2026. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

United States average temperature in Fahrenheit for a given month. Anthropogenic climate change is expected to increase average global temperature over time.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 39Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 39 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 40Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 40 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 41Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 41 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 42Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 42 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 43Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 43 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 44Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 44 degrees Fahrenheit.
Show rules for all 9 outcomes
  • Above 45Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 45 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 46Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 46 degrees Fahrenheit.
  • Above 47Resolves Yes if the Average US Temperature in November 2026 is greater than 47 degrees Fahrenheit.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Sep 2, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 8, 2026
Expected result
Dec 8, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 8, 2026

More Monthly Average United States Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.