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Temperatures

What will the monthly average temperature in NYC be?

NYC Average Monthly Temperature November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open

No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.

About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Dec 9, 2026. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The monthly temperature average in New York City as reported by the National Weather Service in the Climate at a Glance Report. The daily temperature high is based on reporting from New York City, New York (Central Park). For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/weather.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 45Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 45 F in November 2026.
  • Above 46Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 46 F in November 2026.
  • Above 47Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 47 F in November 2026.
  • Above 48Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 48 F in November 2026.
  • Above 49Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 49 F in November 2026.
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 50 F in November 2026.
Show rules for all 7 outcomes
  • Above 51Resolves Yes if the monthly average temperature in NYC exceeds 51 F in November 2026.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Trading opened
Sep 2, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 9, 2026
Expected result
Dec 9, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 9, 2026

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.