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Prices & Inflation

What will the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index be?

Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open

$3.4K vol.
Show all 13 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above -1.5% at 98%, ahead of Above -2.5% at 98%.

The market has $3.4K in volume across 625 trades; the most recent was on Oct 14, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 29, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PCE is the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, U.S. residents. PCE is a key metric that measures the trajectory of personal spending and future economic growth. The index is used by economists to measure inflation in the US economy.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above -1.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds -1.5% in December 2026.
  • Above -2.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds -2.5% in December 2026.
  • Above -0.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds -0.5% in December 2026.
  • Above 0.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 0.5% in December 2026.
  • Above 1.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 1.5% in December 2026.
  • Above 2.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 2.5% in December 2026.
Show rules for all 13 outcomes
  • Above 3.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 3.5% in December 2026.
  • Above 3.9%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 3.9% in December 2026.
  • Above 4.3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 4.3% in December 2026.
  • Above 5.1%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 5.1% in December 2026.
  • Above 5.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 5.5% in December 2026.
  • Above 5.9%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 5.9% in December 2026.
  • Above 4.7%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index exceeds 4.7% in December 2026.

Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Jan 31, 2025
Trading closes
Jan 29, 2027
Expected result
Jan 29, 2027
Expected payout
Jan 29, 2027

More Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.