2028 Presidential
2028 Republican Presidential Nominee
August 2028 · Trading open
JD Vance41%
Ron DeSantis21%
$38.9K vol.
OutcomeChancePrice
- JD VanceRepublican41%
- Ron DeSantisRepublican21%
- Marco RubioRepublican18%
- Donald J. TrumpRepublican7%
- Donald Trump Jr.Republican4%
- Glenn YoungkinRepublican4%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Republican4%
- Thomas MassieRepublican4%
About this market
Traders price JD Vance at 41% to win, ahead of Ron DeSantis at 21%.
The market has $38.9K in volume across 1,069 trades; the most recent was on Oct 30, 2026.
Trading closes on Sep 1, 2028, 2:00 PM ET. The result is confirmed by Republican National Committee.
Whether or not a candidate will be the Republican Party's nominee for US President
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- JD VanceResolves Yes if JD Vance wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Ron DeSantisResolves Yes if Ron DeSantis wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Marco RubioResolves Yes if Marco Rubio wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Donald J. TrumpResolves Yes if Donald J. Trump wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Donald Trump Jr.Resolves Yes if Donald Trump Jr. wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Glenn YoungkinResolves Yes if Glenn Youngkin wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
Show rules for all 12 outcomesShow fewer
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Resolves Yes if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Thomas MassieResolves Yes if Thomas Massie wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Tucker CarlsonResolves Yes if Tucker Carlson wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Tulsi GabbardResolves Yes if Tulsi Gabbard wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Nikki HaleyResolves Yes if Nikki Haley wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
- Vivek RamaswamyResolves Yes if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
Result confirmed by Republican National Committee.
- Trading opened
- Nov 29, 2024
- Trading closes
- Sep 1, 2028, 2:00 PM ET
- Expected result
- Sep 1, 2028
- Expected payout
- Sep 1, 2028
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.