2028 Presidential
2028 Presidential Election: Winning Party
November 2028 · Trading open
Democratic52%
Republicans44%
$20K vol.
About this market
Traders price Democrats at 52% to win, ahead of Republicans at 44%.
The market has $20K in volume across 192 trades; the most recent was on Oct 29, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 7, 2029, 4:00 PM ET. The result is confirmed by United States Congress.
The political party of the candidate that wins the US Presidential Election
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- DemocraticResolves Yes if a Democrat wins the US Presidential Election in 2028.
- RepublicansResolves Yes if a Republican wins the US Presidential Election in 2028.
Result confirmed by United States Congress.
- Trading opened
- Nov 29, 2024
- Trading closes
- Jan 7, 2029, 4:00 PM ET
- Expected result
- Jan 7, 2029
- Expected payout
- Jan 7, 2029
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.