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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 11, 2026 · Trading closed

$1.1K vol.
  • Above 50$10 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Above 54$612 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Above 55$241 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Above 56$93 vol.
    98%
    Closed
  • Above 53$158 vol.
    84%
    Closed
  • Above 58$2 vol.
    3%
    Closed
  • Above 59$0 vol.
    3%
    Closed
  • Above 57$26 vol.
    2%
    Closed
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 51
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Above 52
    No trades yet
    Closed
  • Above 60
    No trades yet
    Closed

About this market

Traders last priced Above 50 at 98%, ahead of Above 54 at 98%.

The market has $1.1K in volume across 177 trades; the most recent was on Nov 12, 2026.

Trading closed on Nov 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 50 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 54 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 55 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 56 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 53Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 53 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 58 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 59Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 59 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 57 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 51Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 51 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 52 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 60Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 60 F on November 11, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 10, 2026
Trading closed
Nov 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 12, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 11, 2026

More Chicago Daily Temperature High markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.