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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) be?

Chicago Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 15, 2026 · Trading open

$253 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 44
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 45
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 54
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 46 at 97%, ahead of Above 47 at 95%.

The market has $253 in volume across 70 trades; the most recent was on Nov 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Chicago, IL as reported by the Weather Underground for the Chicago Midway Intl Airport Station (KMDW).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/chicago-kmdw.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 46Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 46 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 47Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 47 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 48Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 48 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 49Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 49 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 50 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 51Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 51 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 52 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 53Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 53 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 44Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 44 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 45Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 45 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceeds 54 F on November 15, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 14, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 16, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 15, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.