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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) be?

Minneapolis-Saint Paul Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 8, 2026 · Trading open

$626 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Above 56 at 98%, ahead of Above 52 at 96%.

The market has $626 in volume across 128 trades; the most recent was on Nov 9, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as reported by the Weather Underground for the Minneapolis-Saint Paul Intl Airport/Wold-Chamberlain Field Station (KMSP).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/minneapolis-kmsp.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 56Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 56 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 52Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 52 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 55Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 55 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 54Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 54 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 49Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 49 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 53Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 53 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 58Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 58 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 57Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 57 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 59Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 59 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 50Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 50 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 51Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Minneapolis-Saint Paul (MSP)(KMSP) exceeds 51 F on November 8, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 7, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 9, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 8, 2026

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.