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Temperatures

What will the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) be?

Phoenix Daily Temperature High 2026 · Nov 12, 2026 · Trading open

$402 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes
  • Above 89
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 90
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Above 91
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Above 82 at 96%, ahead of Above 81 at 93%.

The market has $402 in volume across 75 trades; the most recent was on Nov 12, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026, 1:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature high in Phoenix, AZ as reported by the Weather Underground for the Phoenix Sky Harbor Intl Airport Station (KPHX).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/phoenix-kphx.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 82Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 82 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 81Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 81 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 83Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 83 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 84Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 84 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 85Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 85 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 86Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 86 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Above 87Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 87 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 88Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 88 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 89Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 89 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 90Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 90 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).
  • Above 91Resolves Yes if the highest temperature in Phoenix (PHX)(KPHX) exceeds 91 F on November 12, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 11, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 13, 2026, 1:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 13, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 12, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.