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Temperatures

What will the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) be?

Austin Daily Temperature Low 2026 · Nov 12, 2026 · Trading open

$154 vol.
Show all 11 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Below 57 at 97%, ahead of Below 58 at 94%.

The market has $154 in volume across 33 trades; the most recent was on Nov 12, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Weather Underground.

The daily temperature low in Austin, TX as reported by the Weather Underground for the Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport Station (KAUS).Disregard the large red and blue numbers at the top of the new Weather Underground website above the Observations table, as they are not the daily high and low temperatures used by Forecastex. Instead, click the green banner to access the old Weather Underground site and use the original summary table. Alternatively, use the Daily Observations table to identify the highest and lowest temperatures recorded that day. For more research and information on these markets, visit the Weather, Climate & Energy Analysis and Decision Support Website: https://weather.weatherclimatehumansystems.org/austin-kaus.html

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Below 57Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 57 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 58Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 58 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 56Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 56 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 55Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 55 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 54Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 54 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 53Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 53 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
Show rules for all 11 outcomes
  • Below 52Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 52 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 51Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 51 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 50Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 50 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 49Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 49 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).
  • Below 59Resolves Yes if the lowest temperature in Austin (AUS)(KAUS) is below 59 F on November 12, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest).

Result confirmed by Weather Underground.

Trading opened
Nov 11, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 13, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 12, 2026

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.