Labor
What will the US Unemployment Rate be?
US Unemployment Rate June 2027 · June 2027 · Trading open
$5.9K vol.
About this market
Traders price Above 2.8% at 94%, ahead of Above 3.3% at 86%.
The market has $5.9K in volume across 192 trades; the most recent was on Oct 23, 2026.
Trading closes on Jul 2, 2027. The result is confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The unemployment rate represents the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 2.8%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 2.8% in June 2027.
- Above 3.3%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 3.3% in June 2027.
- Above 3.8%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 3.8% in June 2027.
- Above 4.3%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 4.3% in June 2027.
- Above 4.8%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 4.8% in June 2027.
- Above 5.3%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 5.3% in June 2027.
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 2.3%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 2.3% in June 2027.
- Above 5.8%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 5.8% in June 2027.
- Above 6.3%Resolves Yes if the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 6.3% in June 2027.
Result confirmed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Trading opened
- Jul 3, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jul 2, 2027
- Expected result
- Jul 2, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jul 2, 2027
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.