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What will US retail sales for general merchandise stores be?

US Retail Sales of General Merchandise Stores October 2026 · October 2026 · Trading open

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About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Nov 17, 2026, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by US Census Bureau.

The seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for general merchandise stores, as published in the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 76800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 76,800 million dollars in October 2026.
  • 77400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 77,400 million dollars in October 2026.
  • 78000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 78,000 million dollars in October 2026.
  • 78600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 78,600 million dollars in October 2026.
  • 79200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 79,200 million dollars in October 2026.
  • 79800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 79,800 million dollars in October 2026.
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  • 80400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 80,400 million dollars in October 2026.
  • 81000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 81,000 million dollars in October 2026.
  • 81600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 81,600 million dollars in October 2026.

Result confirmed by US Census Bureau.

Trading opened
Aug 14, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 17, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Expected result
Nov 17, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 17, 2026

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.