Prices & Inflation
What will US retail sales for general merchandise stores be?
US Retail Sales of General Merchandise Stores December 2027 · December 2027 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Jan 13, 2028, 8:30 AM ET. The result is confirmed by US Census Bureau.
The seasonally adjusted monthly sales figure for general merchandise stores, as published in the U.S. Census Bureau's Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- 76800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 76,800 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
- 78000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 78,000 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
- 79200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 79,200 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
- 80400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 80,400 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
- 81600Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 81,600 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
- 82800Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 82,800 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- 84000Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 84,000 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
- 85200Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 85,200 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
- 86400Resolves Yes if US retail sales for general merchandise stores exceeds 86,400 million dollars in December 2027? (department stores) (big box) (consumer spending).
Result confirmed by US Census Bureau.
- Trading opened
- Oct 15, 2026
- Trading closes
- Jan 13, 2028, 8:30 AM ET
- Expected result
- Jan 13, 2028
- Expected payout
- Jan 13, 2028
More US Retail Sales of General Merchandise Stores markets
Other dates in this series
+7 more US Retail Sales of General Merchandise Stores
Closes Dec 16, 2026, 8:30 AM ETUS Retail Sales of General Merchandise Stores
Closes Jan 14, 2027, 8:30 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.