Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings

BAER · NASDAQ

$0.5529+$0.0385 (+7.48%)TodayMarket closed · Oct 20, 7:43 PM ET

Prev close $0.5144

BAER analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 2 analysts over the last 12 months. 100% rate it a buy.

Strong buy0
Buy2
Hold0
Underperform0
Sell0

12-month price target · 5 analysts

Average $3.74 (+576.4% upside)

Low: $3.03
Now: $0.5529
High: $4.20

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

BAER analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
Firm	Date	Action	Rating	Price target	Hit rate
Canaccord Genuity	Aug 10, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$4.50 → $4.00	31%
Lake Street	May 20, 2026	Initiates	Buy	$4.50	33%
Canaccord Genuity	Mar 9, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$5.25 → $5.00	31%
Canaccord Genuity	Nov 25, 2025	Maintains	Buy	$5.25	31%

The case for and against

Updated May 12, 2026

Bull case

Bridger Aerospace Group is a top aerial firefighting company that has seen significant growth in revenue and earnings in 2025, with a 25% expansion in revenues and a 37% EBITDA margin. The recent acquisition and addition of two Canadair CL-215T Amphibious firefighting planes to its fleet is expected to further increase its earnings potential. However, there are risk factors to consider such as lower wildfire activity and potential damage to aircraft, as well as liquidity and dilution risks. Overall, Bridger Aerospace Group is well-positioned for continued growth and success in the aerial firefighting industry.

Bear case

Bridger Aerospace Group is poised for significant growth in the upcoming years, as its FY26 outlook predicts double-digit revenue and bottom-line growth, boosted by a favorable demand environment and new federal firefighting policies. The recent contract awarded by the US Department of the Interior for transportation services in Alaska also bodes well for the company's revenue and operational efficiency. However, the potential risks associated with contract timing and negotiations in other markets, as well as the concentration of revenue in peak fire season, could hinder the company's long-term financial stability.

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