Bright Horizons Family Solutions

BFAM · NYSE

$69.01−$0.51 (−0.73%)TodayMarket closed ·
Prev close $69.52

BFAM analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 6 analysts over the last 12 months. 67% rate it a buy.
  • Strong buy0
  • Buy4
  • Hold1
  • Underperform1
  • Sell0

12-month price target · 12 analysts

Average $90.25 (+30.8% upside)

Low
$66.66
Now
$69.01
High
$103.95

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

BFAM analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
FirmDateActionRating
UBSOct 14, 2026MaintainsNeutral
Morgan StanleyOct 13, 2026MaintainsUnderweight
BMO CapitalOct 5, 2026MaintainsOutperform
Morgan StanleySep 23, 2026MaintainsUnderweight
UBSJul 31, 2026MaintainsNeutral
Morgan StanleyJul 31, 2026MaintainsUnderweight
UBSJul 17, 2026MaintainsNeutral
UBSMay 6, 2026MaintainsNeutral
JP MorganMay 6, 2026MaintainsOverweight
BarclaysFeb 17, 2026MaintainsOverweight

The case for and against

Updated May 8, 2025

Bull case

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. has demonstrated significant revenue growth of approximately 20% in 2023, with projections suggesting a continued growth rate of around 11% for 2024, primarily driven by improved utilization of Full-Service Centers (FSC) and robust expansion in Backup Care (BUCA). Over the period from 2023 to 2028, the company is expected to achieve a revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6%, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated to grow at a CAGR of around 10%. Furthermore, management expects notable improvements in margin expansion, with a forecast of roughly 630 basis points in adjusted operating income (AOI) margin growth and a 4% increase in FSC pricing anticipated for 2025.

Bear case

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. has experienced notable stock weakness following its 3Q24 earnings release, which revealed slightly slowing top-line growth and potential challenges to margin expansion. The company faces pricing headwinds, low enrollment growth, and minimal recovery in utilization rates, leading to conservative expectations for HSD top-line growth for 2025 and around 10% EPS growth, which falls significantly below consensus. Furthermore, although the company's EBITDA CAGR remains positive, its operating margins are projected to remain below pre-pandemic levels, indicating ongoing structural challenges amidst a shift toward remote work and increased competition.

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