Forgent Power Solutions

FPS · NYSE

$30.23−$1.29 (−4.09%)TodayMarket closed ·
Prev close $31.52

FPS analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 13 analysts over the last 12 months. 85% rate it a buy.
  • Strong buy0
  • Buy11
  • Hold2
  • Underperform0
  • Sell0

12-month price target · 12 analysts

Average $57.63 (+90.6% upside)

Low
$44.44
Now
$30.23
High
$79.80

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

FPS analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
FirmDateActionRating
JP MorganOct 9, 2026MaintainsOverweight
BernsteinOct 2, 2026InitiatesOutperform
Wells FargoSep 25, 2026InitiatesEqual-Weight
OppenheimerSep 16, 2026MaintainsOutperform
TD CowenSep 16, 2026MaintainsBuy
BairdJul 16, 2026InitiatesOutperform
TD CowenJun 22, 2026MaintainsBuy
Morgan StanleyMay 18, 2026MaintainsEqual-Weight
Goldman SachsMay 15, 2026MaintainsBuy
BarclaysMay 15, 2026MaintainsOverweight

The case for and against

Updated Oct 16, 2026

Bull case

Forgent Power Solutions is attractive fundamentally because it is converting strong end-market demand in data centers, grid, and energy-intensive industrial facilities into exceptional operating momentum, with F4Q revenue of $462M, adjusted EBITDA of $113M, bookings of $1.503B, and backlog of $3.02B, all signaling durable visibility and a robust book-to-bill profile. Its differentiated, highly customized product mix—especially Powertrain Solutions, modular systems, and capacity additions such as the Tijuana expansion—supports outgrowth versus peers by deepening wallet share, shortening lead times, and reinforcing competitive advantages in a market where orders remain strong. Although near-term margins reflect investment and ramp inefficiencies, the 24.4% adjusted EBITDA margin, expected 130bps FY27 expansion, and approaching free-cash-flow inflection indicate improving operating leverage and future capital flexibility for M&A.

Bear case

Forgent Power Solutions is facing a fundamentally fragile setup because its growth thesis depends heavily on a still-evolving data center investment cycle, while any slowdown in AI-driven capex could materially weaken long-term demand and spill over into grid-related sales. Near term, the company is absorbing a $10M EBITDA headwind from accelerated hiring in F1Q, even as management only expects about 200bps of q/q margin expansion in F2Q, highlighting limited operating leverage and execution risk during expansion. Its outlook is further pressured by intense competition from larger peers such as ABB, Eaton, Schneider, and GE-Vernova, along with capacity, supply chain, and public-company transition risks.

Information on this page is provided for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Market data is delayed at least 15 minutes and is provided without warranty. Analyst ratings, price targets and company data come from third-party sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.