Group 1 Automotive

GPI · NYSE

$243.02+$3.74 (+1.56%)TodayMarket closed · Oct 20, 5:31 PM ET

Prev close $239.28

GPI analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 8 analysts over the last 12 months. 63% rate it a buy.

Strong buy0
Buy5
Hold2
Underperform1
Sell0

12-month price target · 14 analysts

Average $385.43 (+58.6% upside)

Low: $303.00
Now: $243.02
High: $472.50

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

GPI analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
Firm	Date	Action	Rating	Price target	Hit rate
Evercore ISI Group	Oct 12, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$360.00 → $330.00	25%
UBS	Oct 7, 2026	Maintains	Neutral	$330.00 → $271.00	39%
JP Morgan	Oct 6, 2026	Maintains	Neutral	$275.00 → $260.00	50%
Barclays	Oct 6, 2026	Maintains	Overweight	$365.00 → $320.00	28%
Morgan Stanley	Oct 5, 2026	Downgrade	Equal-Weight → Underweight	$300.00 → $232.00	50%
Citigroup	Sep 28, 2026	Maintains	Buy	$387.00 → $357.00	57%
Barclays	Aug 19, 2026	Maintains	Overweight	$435.00 → $365.00	28%
Morgan Stanley	Aug 7, 2026	Downgrade	Overweight → Equal-Weight	$400.00 → $300.00	50%
JP Morgan	Aug 4, 2026	Maintains	Neutral	$320.00 → $275.00	50%
Evercore ISI Group	Aug 4, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$440.00 → $360.00	25%

The case for and against

Updated Dec 15, 2025

Bull case

Group 1 Automotive reported a substantial revenue total of $19.9 billion for 2024, with the acquisition of Inchcape UK expected to add approximately $2.7 billion annually and increase its market presence significantly. The company has demonstrated strong operational performance, as evidenced by a 12% rise in aftersales and an 11% increase in finance and insurance (F&I), contributing to roughly 300 basis points of operating leverage. Additionally, restructuring efforts are anticipated to enhance margins further, highlighted by a record sales increase of 6.5% in the first quarter of 2025, thereby positioning the company for sustained growth in the automotive sector.

Bear case

Group 1 Automotive is facing a negative outlook due to notable declines in its operating performance, with projected AEBITDA decreasing by 5% to $990 million and adjusted EPS falling 11.4% to $39.21. The automotive industry has experienced significant demand drop-offs exceeding 20% from peak levels, which is likely to impact future revenues and profitability. Additionally, EBITDA margins have contracted to 4.6%, reflecting an 8% year-over-year decline, raising concerns about the company's ability to sustain financial stability amidst these challenges.

Information on this page is provided for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Market data is delayed at least 15 minutes and is provided without warranty. Analyst ratings, price targets and company data come from third-party sources. Past performance does not guarantee future results.