Illinois Tool Works

ITW · NYSE

$274.97+$4.80 (+1.78%)TodayMarket closed ·
Prev close $270.17

ITW analyst rating

HoldConsensus of 9 analysts over the last 12 months. 11% rate it a buy.
  • Strong buy0
  • Buy1
  • Hold5
  • Underperform2
  • Sell1

12-month price target · 16 analysts

Average $297.36 (+8.1% upside)

Low
$225.61
Now
$274.97
High
$336.00

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

ITW analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
FirmDateActionRating
JP MorganOct 9, 2026DowngradeOverweight → Neutral
Truist SecuritiesOct 5, 2026MaintainsHold
Evercore ISI GroupAug 11, 2026MaintainsUnderperform
JP MorganJul 29, 2026MaintainsOverweight
BairdJul 29, 2026MaintainsNeutral
JP MorganJul 13, 2026MaintainsOverweight
Truist SecuritiesJul 2, 2026MaintainsHold
Wells FargoMay 4, 2026MaintainsUnderweight
CitigroupMay 4, 2026MaintainsNeutral
JP MorganMay 1, 2026MaintainsOverweight

The case for and against

Updated Oct 19, 2025

Bull case

Illinois Tool Works (ITW) demonstrates a solid financial outlook, driven by a projected operating income of approximately $4.33 billion with an anticipated operating margin improvement to 26.5-27.5%, indicating a 100 basis points year-over-year growth at the midpoint. The company has experienced momentum in its electronics and aerospace sectors, with equipment orders increasing by double digits, which is expected to contribute positively to overall margin growth across all segments. Furthermore, ITW's operating income of $135 million and a notable operating margin of 30.9%, up 120 basis points year-over-year, further highlight the company's effective execution of enterprise initiatives, reinforcing its resilient market position.

Bear case

Illinois Tool Works demonstrated a decline in operating income, with a significant operating margin drop to 21.4%, reflecting a negative operating leverage effect and increased restructuring costs. The specialty products segment saw a decrease in sales by 1% year-over-year, alongside a notable drop in organic growth compared to the previous year, highlighting ongoing revenue challenges. Additionally, the automotive OEM segment experienced a decline in organic growth of 1% due to substantial weaknesses in North America and Europe, raising concerns about the company's overall growth trajectory.

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