Grand Canyon Education

LOPE · NASDAQ

$160.36−$1.75 (−1.08%)TodayMarket closed · Oct 20, 7:30 PM ET

Prev close $162.11

LOPE analyst rating

BuyConsensus of 3 analysts over the last 12 months. 100% rate it a buy.

Strong buy0
Buy3
Hold0
Underperform0
Sell0

12-month price target · 5 analysts

Average $198.90 (+24.0% upside)

Low: $186.85
Now: $160.36
High: $210.00

Upgrades and downgrades

The latest rating actions, newest first

LOPE analyst upgrades, downgrades and rating actions
Firm	Date	Action	Rating	Price target	Hit rate
BMO Capital	Oct 5, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$185.00 → $182.00	60%
BMO Capital	Jul 6, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$198.00 → $185.00	60%
Truist Securities	Jun 9, 2026	Initiates	Buy	$200.00	63%
Barrington Research	Apr 16, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$230.00	63%
Barrington Research	Feb 19, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$230.00	63%
Barrington Research	Jan 22, 2026	Maintains	Outperform	$230.00	63%
Barrington Research	Oct 21, 2025	Maintains	Outperform	$230.00	63%

The case for and against

Updated Aug 11, 2026

Bull case

Grand Canyon Education is expected to continue growing its top line from its partnership with the non-profit institution, Grand Canyon University, and its focus on implementing AI solutions is likely to drive solid demand for its services. Its revenue and adjusted EBITDA for 2026 are expected to be in the range of $1.168-1.189 billion and $7.8 million, respectively, and with its improved marketing and recruitment strategy, the company has already seen an increase in registrations for fall 2026 semester. Furthermore, with a strong balance sheet, the company also plans to aggressively repurchase its shares, which could further drive shareholder value.

Bear case

Grand Canyon Education is predicted to experience a decrease in total online enrollments due to increasing graduations and declining re-entries, causing a negative impact on their revenue growth. This is in line with their recent quarterly results, which showed lower-than-expected new online enrollments and a decline in re-entries. Additionally, management's guidance for Q1/26 and Q2/26 is below consensus expectations, signaling potential challenges in maintaining strong growth for the company in the future.

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