Industry
Average Air Fares in the US Q3 2026
Average Air Fares in the US September 2026 · September 2026 · Trading open
$83 vol.
OutcomeChancePrice
- Above 370$9 vol.93%
- Above 380$9 vol.89%
- Above 390$16 vol.84%
- Above 400$16 vol.80%
- Above 410$13 vol.69%
- Above 420$11 vol.55%
- Above 430$7 vol.36%
- Above 440$2 vol.24%
About this market
Traders price Above 370 at 93%, ahead of Above 380 at 89%.
The market has $83 in volume across 13 trades; the most recent was on Oct 16, 2026.
Trading closes on Dec 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. The result is confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.
The average price of air fares in the US during a specified time period as reported in the Average Passenger Fares data by the Bureau of Transportation Statistics.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above 370Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $370 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 380Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $380 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 390Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $390 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 400Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $400 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 410Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $410 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 420Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $420 in Q3 2026 in the US.
Show rules for all 12 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 430Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $430 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 440Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $440 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 340Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $340 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 350Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $350 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 360Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $360 in Q3 2026 in the US.
- Above 450Resolves Yes if average air fares exceeds $450 in Q3 2026 in the US? (Flights) (Flying) (Travel) (Airlines) (Aviation) (Passengers).
Result confirmed by Bureau of Transportation Statistics.
- Trading opened
- Jan 14, 2026
- Trading closes
- Dec 23, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
- Expected result
- Dec 23, 2026
- Expected payout
- Dec 23, 2026
More Average Air Fares in the US markets
Other dates in this series
+10 more Average Air Fares in the US Q1
Closes May 29, 2027, 5:00 PM ETAverage Air Fares in the US Q2
Closes Oct 19, 2027, 11:00 AM ET
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.