Industry
What will the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer be?
Year over Year Change in Prices Paid by Farmers for Fertilizer May 2027 · May 2027 · Trading open
$977 vol.
About this market
Traders price Above -35% at 95%, ahead of Above -25% at 86%.
The market has $977 in volume across 127 trades; the most recent was on Aug 8, 2026.
Trading closes on Jun 27, 2027. The result is confirmed by USDA.
The yearly percentage change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer, as reported in the USDA Agricultural Prices report
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Above -35%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -35% in May 2027.
- Above -25%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -25% in May 2027.
- Above -15%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -15% in May 2027.
- Above -5%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds -5% in May 2027.
- Above 5%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 5% in May 2027.
- Above 15%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 15% in May 2027.
Show rules for all 9 outcomesShow fewer
- Above 25%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 25% in May 2027.
- Above 35%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 35% in May 2027.
- Above 45%Resolves Yes if the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceeds 45% in May 2027.
Result confirmed by USDA.
- Trading opened
- Jun 30, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jun 27, 2027
- Expected result
- Jun 27, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jun 28, 2027
More Year over Year Change in Prices Paid by Farmers for Fertilizer markets
Other dates in this series
+7 more
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.