Corporate Activity
Will CFS announce the achievement of "First Plasma" in the SPARC device by December 31, 2026?
CFS First Plasma 2026 · Dec 31, 2026 · Trading open
$1 vol.
About this market
Traders price By December 31, 2026 at 37%.
The market has $1 in volume across 2 trades; the most recent was on Sep 9, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by Commonwealth Fusion Systems.
This contract resolves based on whether CFS achieves “First Plasma”, defined as the successful ionization of a gas inside the SPARC device by the date in the Contract.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- By December 31, 2026Resolves Yes if CFS announces the achievement of "First Plasma" in the SPARC device by December 31, 2026.
Result confirmed by Commonwealth Fusion Systems.
- Trading opened
- Jan 7, 2026
- Trading closes
- Jan 1, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 1, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 1, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.