Corporate Activity
Will Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
Tesla SpaceX Merger 2026 · Dec 31, 2026 · Trading open
$3K vol.
About this market
Traders price By December 31, 2026 at 85%.
The market has $3K in volume across 40 trades; the most recent was on Oct 7, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by ForecastEx.
The contract resolves based on whether the transaction between Tesla and SpaceX has been legally consummated on or before the contract expiration date, as evidenced by an official filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. A Form 8-K stating that the transaction has closed will constitute confirmation of completion.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- By December 31, 2026Resolves Yes if the answer to “Will Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?” is yes.
Result confirmed by ForecastEx.
- Trading opened
- Feb 19, 2026
- Trading closes
- Jan 1, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 1, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 1, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.