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Prices & Inflation

What will the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index be?

US Core PCE Price Index November 2026 · November 2026 · Trading open

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About this market

No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.

Trading closes on Dec 23, 2026. The result is confirmed by US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, Excluding Food and Energy ("Core PCE") is published by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. The year-over-year change in the Core PCE measures the rate at which consumer prices for goods and services, excluding food and energy, are increasing or decreasing over a 12-month period, providing a clear indication of underlying inflation trends in the US economy.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Above 2.3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 2.3% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 2.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 2.4% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 2.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 2.5% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 2.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 2.6% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 2.7%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 2.7% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 2.8%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 2.8% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
Show rules for all 14 outcomes
  • Above 2.9%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 2.9% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 3.1%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 3.1% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 3.2%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 3.2% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 3.3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 3.3% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 3.4%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 3.4% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 3.5%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 3.5% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 3.6%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 3.6% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).
  • Above 3%Resolves Yes if the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceeds 3% in November 2026? (inflation) (Fed preferred inflation) (price pressures).

Result confirmed by US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Trading opened
Sep 30, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 23, 2026
Expected result
Dec 23, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 23, 2026

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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.