Open an account
House

CA-06 General Election

Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Richard Pan91%
Kevin Kiley7%
$98 vol.
  • Richard PanDemocratic
    91%
    YesNo
  • Kevin KileyIndependent
    7%
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Richard Pan at 91% to win, ahead of Kevin Kiley at 7%.

The market has $98 in volume across 2 trades; the most recent was on Oct 8, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. The result is confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in California 6th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Richard PanResolves Yes if Richard Pan wins the California 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Kevin KileyResolves Yes if Kevin Kiley wins the California 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Mar 10, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Expected result
Dec 11, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 11, 2026

More California elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.