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House

CA-14 General Election

Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Aisha Wahab84%
Melissa Hernandez10%
$274 vol.
  • Aisha WahabDemocratic
    84%
    YesNo
  • Melissa HernandezDemocratic
    10%
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Aisha Wahab at 84% to win, ahead of Melissa Hernandez at 10%.

The market has $274 in volume across 15 trades; the most recent was on Oct 30, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. The result is confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in California 14th District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Aisha WahabResolves Yes if Aisha Wahab wins the California 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Melissa HernandezResolves Yes if Melissa Hernandez wins the California 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
May 8, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Expected result
Dec 11, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 11, 2026

More California elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.