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House

CA-41 General Election

Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

Linda Sanchez86%
Mitch Clemmons7%
$87 vol.
  • Linda SanchezDemocratic
    86%
    YesNo
  • Mitch ClemmonsRepublican
    7%
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Linda Sanchez at 86% to win, ahead of Mitch Clemmons at 7%.

The market has $87 in volume across 2 trades; the most recent was on Aug 30, 2026.

Trading closes on Dec 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. The result is confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

This race determines the outcome of the general election for the US House of Representatives in California 41st District, shaping representation in the US House of Representatives.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Linda SanchezResolves Yes if Linda Sanchez wins the California 41st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.
  • Mitch ClemmonsResolves Yes if Mitch Clemmons wins the California 41st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026.

Result confirmed by California Secretary of State Elections Division.

Trading opened
Feb 25, 2026
Trading closes
Dec 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Expected result
Dec 11, 2026
Expected payout
Dec 11, 2026

More California elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.