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Climate Change

What will global carbon dioxide emissions be?

Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions 2026 · Dec 31, 2026 · Trading open

$5.4K vol.
Show all 21 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 35500 at 78%, ahead of 36000 at 53%.

The market has $5.4K in volume across 1,130 trades; the most recent was on Oct 16, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by Energy Institute.

Carbon Dioxide is an important greenhouse gas and thought to be one of the major contributors to anthropogenic climate change, a major societal challenge. Global Carbon Dioxide emissions estimate the amount of Carbon Dioxide emitted worldwide in a calendar year.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 35500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 35,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 36000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 36,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 36500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 36,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 42000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 42,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 37000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 37,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 37500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 37,500 million metric tons in 2026.
Show rules for all 21 outcomes
  • 38000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 38,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 38500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 38,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 39500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 39,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 42500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 42,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 39000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 39,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 40000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 40,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 41000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 41,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 41500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 41,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 40500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 40,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 35000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 35,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 43000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 43,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 43500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 43,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 44000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 44,000 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 44500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 44,500 million metric tons in 2026.
  • 45000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 45,000 million metric tons in 2026.

Result confirmed by Energy Institute.

Trading opened
Oct 1, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 1, 2027
Expected result
Jun 30, 2027
Expected payout
Jul 1, 2027

More Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.