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Climate Change

Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions December 2030

Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions 2030 · Dec 31, 2030 · Trading open

$356 vol.
Show all 15 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 42500 at 60%, ahead of 43500 at 50%.

The market has $356 in volume across 52 trades; the most recent was on May 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 1, 2031. The result is confirmed by Energy Institute.

Carbon Dioxide is an important greenhouse gas and thought to be one of the major contributors to anthropogenic climate change, a major societal challenge. Global Carbon Dioxide emissions estimate the amount of Carbon Dioxide emitted worldwide in a calendar year.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 42500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 42,500 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 43500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 43,500 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 40000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 40,000 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 40500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 40,500 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 41000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 41,000 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 41500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 41,500 million metric tons in 2030.
Show rules for all 15 outcomes
  • 42000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 42,000 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 44500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 44,500 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 45000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 45,000 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 45500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 45,500 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 46000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 46,000 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 46500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 46,500 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 47000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 47,000 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 47500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 47,500 million metric tons in 2030.
  • 48500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 48,500 million metric tons in 2030.

Result confirmed by Energy Institute.

Trading opened
Oct 1, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 1, 2031
Expected result
Jun 30, 2031
Expected payout
Jul 1, 2031

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Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.