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Climate Change

What will global carbon dioxide emissions be?

Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions 2035 · Dec 31, 2035 · Trading open

$109 vol.
Show all 12 outcomes

About this market

Traders price 45000 at 87%, ahead of 47500 at 32%.

The market has $109 in volume across 23 trades; the most recent was on May 15, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 1, 2036. The result is confirmed by Energy Institute.

Carbon Dioxide is an important greenhouse gas and thought to be one of the major contributors to anthropogenic climate change, a major societal challenge. Global Carbon Dioxide emissions estimate the amount of Carbon Dioxide emitted worldwide in a calendar year.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • 45000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 45,000 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 47500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 47,500 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 44500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 44,500 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 46000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 46,000 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 47000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 47,000 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 48000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 48,000 million metric tons in 2035.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • 48500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 48,500 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 49000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 49,000 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 49500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 49,500 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 50000Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 50,000 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 50500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 50,500 million metric tons in 2035.
  • 51500Resolves Yes if global carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 51,500 million metric tons in 2035.

Result confirmed by Energy Institute.

Trading opened
Oct 1, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 1, 2036
Expected result
Jun 30, 2036
Expected payout
Jul 1, 2036

More Global Carbon Dioxide Emissions markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.