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Senate

2026 Georgia Senate: Ossoff Margin of Victory

Nov 3, 2026 · Trading open

$9 vol.
  • Ossoff by more than 2 ptsDemocratic
    87%
    YesNo
  • Ossoff by more than 4 ptsDemocratic
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Ossoff by more than 6 ptsDemocratic
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Ossoff by more than 8 ptsDemocratic
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Ossoff by more than 10 ptsDemocratic
    No trades yet
    YesNo
  • Ossoff by more than 12 ptsDemocratic
    No trades yet
    YesNo

About this market

Traders price Ossoff by more than 2 pts at 87%.

The market has $9 in volume across 1 trade; the most recent was on Oct 2, 2026.

Trading closes on Nov 20, 2026, 5:00 PM ET. The result is confirmed by ForecastEx.

This Contract resolves based on whether Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate General Election by more than the applicable percentage-point margin, as reported by the Georgia Secretary of State Elections Division.

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Ossoff by more than 2 ptsResolves Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate General Election by more than 2 percentage points.
  • Ossoff by more than 4 ptsResolves Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate General Election by more than 4 percentage points.
  • Ossoff by more than 6 ptsResolves Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate General Election by more than 6 percentage points.
  • Ossoff by more than 8 ptsResolves Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate General Election by more than 8 percentage points.
  • Ossoff by more than 10 ptsResolves Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate General Election by more than 10 percentage points.
  • Ossoff by more than 12 ptsResolves Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the Georgia Senate General Election by more than 12 percentage points.

Result confirmed by ForecastEx.

Trading opened
Jul 20, 2026
Trading closes
Nov 20, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
Expected result
Nov 20, 2026
Expected payout
Nov 20, 2026

More Georgia elections

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.