Temperatures
Will December 2026 be the warmest December on record?
Monthly Record Temperature December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open
$2 vol.
About this market
Traders price Warmest December on record at 20%.
The market has $2 in volume across 1 trade; the most recent was on Sep 24, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 11, 2027. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
Whether or not a month will be the warmest of that month (i.e. warmest January, February, etc) on record.
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- Warmest December on recordResolves Yes if December 2026 is the warmest December on record.
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
- Trading opened
- Oct 30, 2025
- Trading closes
- Jan 11, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 11, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 11, 2027
More Monthly Record Temperature markets
Other dates in this series
Monthly Record Temperature
Closes Dec 9, 2026
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.