Temperatures
Will 2026 be the warmest year on record?
Record Temperature December 2026 · December 2026 · Trading open
$73 vol.
About this market
Traders price 2026 Warmest year on record at 70%.
The market has $73 in volume across 17 trades; the most recent was on Oct 1, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 8, 2027. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
Whether or not a given year will be the warmest year on record
Rules and timeline
A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.
- 2026 Warmest year on recordResolves Yes if 2026 is the warmest year on record.
Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
- Trading opened
- Nov 29, 2024
- Trading closes
- Jan 8, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 8, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 8, 2027
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Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.