Temperatures

Will 2035 be the warmest year on record?

Record Temperature December 2035 · December 2035 · Trading open

$136 vol.

About this market

Traders price 2035 Warmest year on record at 52%.

The market has $136 in volume across 25 trades; the most recent was on Feb 28, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 11, 2036. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Whether or not a given year will be the warmest year on record

Rules and timeline

A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.

  • 2035 Warmest year on recordResolves Yes if 2035 is the warmest year on record.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Nov 29, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 11, 2036
Expected result
Jan 11, 2036
Expected payout
Jan 11, 2036

More Record Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.