Temperatures

Will 2030 be the warmest year on record?

Record Temperature December 2030 · December 2030 · Trading open

$15 vol.

About this market

Traders price 2030 Warmest year on record at 45%.

The market has $15 in volume across 3 trades; the most recent was on Apr 10, 2026.

Trading closes on Jan 10, 2031. The result is confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Whether or not a given year will be the warmest year on record

Rules and timeline

A Yes contract pays $1 if the event happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse.

  • 2030 Warmest year on recordResolves Yes if 2030 is the warmest year on record.

Result confirmed by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Trading opened
Nov 29, 2024
Trading closes
Jan 10, 2031
Expected result
Jan 10, 2031
Expected payout
Jan 10, 2031

More Record Temperature markets

Other dates in this series

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.