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US Presidential Candidate Democrat August 2028

US Presidential Candidate Democrat August 2028 · August 2028 · Trading open

$77.8K vol.
Show all 10 outcomes

About this market

Traders price Gavin Newsom at 17%, ahead of Kamala Harris at 16%.

The market has $77.8K in volume across 1,132 trades; the most recent was on Oct 22, 2026.

Trading closes on Sep 1, 2028. The result is confirmed by Democratic National Committee.

Whether or not a candidate will be the Democratic Party's nominee for US President

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • Gavin NewsomResolves Yes if Gavin Newsom wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Kamala HarrisResolves Yes if Kamala Harris wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Alexandria Ocasio-CortezResolves Yes if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Pete ButtigiegResolves Yes if Pete Buttigieg wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Josh ShapiroResolves Yes if Josh Shapiro wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Wes MooreResolves Yes if Wes Moore wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
Show rules for all 10 outcomes
  • Andy BeshearResolves Yes if Andy Beshear wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Gretchen WhitmerResolves Yes if Gretchen Whitmer wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • J.B. PritzkerResolves Yes if J.B. Pritzker wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Jon OssoffResolves Yes if Jon Ossoff wins the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? (Primary) (Party race).

Result confirmed by Democratic National Committee.

Trading opened
Nov 29, 2024
Trading closes
Sep 1, 2028
Expected result
Sep 1, 2028
Expected payout
Sep 1, 2028

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.