Open an account
President

Who will win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?

US Presidential Candidate Republican August 2028 · August 2028 · Trading open

JD Vance44%
Ron DeSantis21%
$38.8K vol.
Show all 12 outcomes

About this market

Traders price JD Vance at 44% to win, ahead of Ron DeSantis at 21%.

The market has $38.8K in volume across 1,064 trades; the most recent was on Oct 12, 2026.

Trading closes on Sep 1, 2028. The result is confirmed by Republican National Committee.

Whether or not a candidate will be the Republican Party's nominee for US President

Rules and timeline

Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.

  • JD VanceResolves Yes if JD Vance wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Ron DeSantisResolves Yes if Ron DeSantis wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Marco RubioResolves Yes if Marco Rubio wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Donald J. TrumpResolves Yes if Donald J. Trump wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Donald Trump Jr.Resolves Yes if Donald Trump Jr. wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Glenn YoungkinResolves Yes if Glenn Youngkin wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
Show rules for all 12 outcomes
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Resolves Yes if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Thomas MassieResolves Yes if Thomas Massie wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Tucker CarlsonResolves Yes if Tucker Carlson wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Tulsi GabbardResolves Yes if Tulsi Gabbard wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Nikki HaleyResolves Yes if Nikki Haley wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.
  • Vivek RamaswamyResolves Yes if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028.

Result confirmed by Republican National Committee.

Trading opened
Nov 29, 2024
Trading closes
Sep 1, 2028
Expected result
Sep 1, 2028
Expected payout
Sep 1, 2028

Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.