President
Who will win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
US Presidential Election 2028 · Nov 7, 2028 · Trading open
Marco Rubio18%
JD Vance17%
$2.1K vol.
About this market
Traders price Marco Rubio at 18% to win, ahead of JD Vance at 17%.
The market has $2.1K in volume across 23 trades; the most recent was on Oct 9, 2026.
Trading closes on Jan 8, 2029. The result is confirmed by United States Congress.
This contract resolves based on the candidate certified as the winner of the U.S. Presidential Election by Congress during the January 6th joint session following the election. The official determination is the result recorded in the Congressional Record. The contract may resolve early if the Associated Press, The New York Times, and The Wall Street Journal all call the race for the same candidate with no credible outstanding recounts or legal challenges.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Marco RubioResolves Yes if Marco Rubio wins the US Presidential Election in 2028.
- JD VanceResolves Yes if JD Vance wins the US Presidential Election in 2028.
- Alexandria Ocasio-CortezResolves Yes if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the US Presidential Election in 2028.
- Gavin NewsomResolves Yes if Gavin Newsom wins the US Presidential Election in 2028.
Result confirmed by United States Congress.
- Trading opened
- Mar 4, 2026
- Trading closes
- Jan 8, 2029
- Expected result
- Jan 8, 2029
- Expected payout
- Jan 8, 2029
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.