President
Presidential Declaration December 31 2026
Presidential Declaration 2026 · Dec 31, 2026 · Trading open
No trades yet. The chart appears after the first trade.
About this market
No trades have been recorded on this market yet, so there is no market price for any outcome.
Trading closes on Jan 1, 2027. The result is confirmed by Federal Election Commission.
This contract resolves based on whether the specified candidate publicly declares their candidacy for President of the United States on or before the stated deadline. A declaration includes an official campaign announcement, a filing with the relevant election authority, or another formal public confirmation by the candidate or their campaign.
Rules and timeline
Each outcome is its own contract. A Yes contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and $0 if not; a No contract pays the reverse. Because the contracts trade separately, their chances don't have to add up to 100%.
- Alexandria Ocasio-CortezResolves Yes if the answer to “Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez declare their candidacy for US President by December 31, 2026?” is yes.
- Gavin NewsomResolves Yes if the answer to “Will Gavin Newsom declare their candidacy for US President by December 31, 2026?” is yes.
- JD VanceResolves Yes if the answer to “Will JD Vance declare their candidacy for US President by December 31, 2026?” is yes.
- Marco RubioResolves Yes if the answer to “Will Marco Rubio declare their candidacy for US President by December 31, 2026?” is yes.
Result confirmed by Federal Election Commission.
- Trading opened
- May 14, 2026
- Trading closes
- Jan 1, 2027
- Expected result
- Jan 1, 2027
- Expected payout
- Jan 1, 2027
Prices are the last trades on the ForecastEx exchange and can be delayed by about ten minutes. A chance is the price of a Yes contract, not a forecast by Aries. Event contracts involve risk, including the loss of the full amount paid. Information on this page is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.